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02/19/2007 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - This week's Round of 16 Champions League slate offers up eight tasty matchups, with four featuring English League clubs. Much like a meal of fish and chips and warm beer, the first knockout round has a distinctly British flavor to it.
Tuesday's action features a pair of European heavyweights, Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, who have struggled in league play just to get a win in recent weeks. Premiership giants Manchester United and Arsenal both hit the road in the opening leg of their respective matchups, with the Red Devils traveling to meet French club Lille, while the Gunners visit Holland to battle Eredivisie leaders PSV. Celtic Park will be the venue for the Hoops showdown with AC Milan.
Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid
This is a matchup of two struggling titans who have failed to live up to expectations this season. Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will host the first leg of this clash, a place where the home team has won just five times in 11 matches during league play. The nine-time European champions are in desperate need of some scoring punch, producing just one goal in its last four home contests. Despite the departure of Ronaldo, Madrid certainly have no shortage of men who can put the ball in the net. With Raul, Ruud van Nistelrooy and Robinho all strike options for manager Fabio Capello, Real have the talent to give them the shot in the arm they so desperately need. Madrid currently sit fourth in the La Liga table and are coming off of a disappointing 0-0 draw with Real Betis on Saturday. If there is team left in this competition who enters the knockout round with even less momentum than Madrid, it has to be Bayern Munich. Bayern has slipped into fourth place in Bundesliga table, 12 points behind league-leaders Schalke. The German giants will now be fighting for the remainder of the season to qualify for the Champions League next year, but have a chance to make an impact on this year's competition. New manager Ottmar Hitzfeld, who replaced the fired Felix Magath on January 31, has guided Bayern to the Champions League crown once before, but it will take an even bigger effort to do so this season. Bayern have a nice mix of youth and experience on its roster, with emerging young German internationals Philipp Lahm, Bastian Schweinsteiger and Lukas Podolski. Veteran Oliver Kahn still provides a solid presence between the posts, and Roy Makaay and Claudio Pizarro have combined for 17 goals this season up top for Munich. The return of midfielder Owen Hargreaves from a broken leg a month ago should provide a nice boost in the center of the field, but this matchup hinges on which team can regain its good form.
Manchester United vs. Lille
United is the clear favorite in this one, with a big edge in overall talent level. However, Lille could prove to be a tricky opponent that gives United trouble. The Red Devils failed to advance past the group stage in last year's Champions League, due in part to a 1-0 loss and 0-0 draw against Lille. The French club is lead by midfielder Mathieu Bodmer, who leads the team with eight goals. Striker Peter Odemwingie gives the team a playmaker up top and keeper Tony Sylva is a strong option between the posts. Lille is not an explosive offensive team, and will need its defense to keep it in the game. That is easier said than done, however, as United have a formidable strike force of Wayne Rooney, Louis Saha and Henrik Larsson that will give any back line trouble. The task of controlling that dangerous trio falls to defenders Gregory Tafforeau and Mathieu Chalme. In addition to a strong attack, United has a big edge on the outside with dazzling midfielder Cristiano Ronaldo and steady veteran Ryan Giggs. The back line features standouts Rio Ferdinand, Gary Neville and Nemanja Vidic, who have proved tough to crack in front of keeper Edwin Van der Sar. Despite the gap in talent, this one will be closer than expected, with United working to hold its lead in the Premiership as well as FA Cup duties. The Red Devils are not the deepest team in the world, and with a busy schedule ahead of them, Lille could catch them at the right time.
Arsenal vs. PSV
Arsenal and PSV has the potential to be the most entertaining affair of the round. Both teams employ an attacking style with plenty of players who are capable of hitting the net. Arsenal is looking to duplicate the success it had in last year's competition, when the Gunners advanced all the way to the final before falling to Barcelona. PSV is a team that has consistently shown the ability to make it into the knockout round, but has always come up short in the big matches. PSV owns a five-point edge atop the Dutch Eredivisie standings, but the club has won just one of its last four games, and appears to have slowed down a bit. Despite the lack of wins in league play of late, the Eindhoven club is a very live opponent who will test Arsenal at every turn. PSV does have enough firepower to combat Arsenal's aggressive style, as Jefferson Farfan and Arouna Kone have combined to score 23 goals in league play for the squad this season. Midfielder Philip Cocu will also be looked to for offensive inspiration, but that trio will have a hard time matching the creativity and individual skill of Arsenal's Thierry Henry, Francesc Fabregas and Emmanuel Adebayor. PSV are capable of hanging with Arsenal for a while, and the first leg at home will be very important for them before making the trip to London. In the end, PSV will put up a good fight, but they are just a little outgunned.
AC Milan vs. Celtic
Celtic is making its first appearance in the Round of 16, and has a chance to make a great impression in the first leg at Celtic Park against AC Milan. While Celtic is new to the knockout round experience, AC Milan has been here plenty of times before. The Rossoneri has enjoyed much success in this competition in recent years, including finals appearances in 2003, where they beat Juventus, and 2005, where they were beaten by Liverpool. The match-fixing scandal from last season has robbed AC Milan of any chance to win Serie A this season, but the club will be plenty ready for another deep run in the Champions League this season. After starting league play in less than impressive fashion, Milan has won six of its last seven games and is hitting its stride at just the right time. Ronaldo, acquired from Real Madrid during the January transfer window, scored twice in the club's victory against Siena over the weekend, and has produced plenty of brilliance in the competition over the years. He will have plenty of help in carrying the scoring load as leading-scorer Alberto Gilardino will join him, along with fellow Brazilian Kaka adding scoring punch from the midfield. Celtic have been in great form in dominating the Scottish Premier League this season, but the Hoops are taking a big step up in class against Milan. The first leg will be critical for Celtic because the team has not faired well away from home, and the return leg at the San Siro will be a tall task. If Celtic can take a lead into the second leg they will have a chance, but anything less than a win in the first leg spells trouble.
Wednesday's action features a contest between the last two Champions League winners, 2005 champions Liverpool and last year's winners Barcelona. Serie A leaders Inter Milan face a tough Valencia team, French power Lyon meet Roma and Chelsea takes on 2004 champions FC Porto.
Liverpool vs. Barcelona
This was the most anticipated matchup when the draw was released, but it has lost a little bit of its luster since that time. Liverpool started 2007 on a low note, with a pair of losses to Arsenal in domestic cup competitions. Those losses may prove to be a blessing, however, giving Liverpool 11 days between its last match and Wednesday's first leg at Estadio Camp Nou. Barcelona, meanwhile, is coming off of a tough 2-1 defeat to Valencia on Sunday, and faces a much more difficult turnaround. Barca must also deal with internal problems, chief amongst them the unhappiness of striker Samuel Eto'o. The Cameroon international figured to provide a nice boost up front for the Catalan side if he could return to fitness after a four-month absence because of injury. However, after coming on as a substitute for five minutes three weeks ago, Eto'o has not stepped onto the pitch since. He stayed home for the Valencia trip, saying he needed to work on his conditioning, but reports have indicated a possible rift between the striker and coach Frank Rijkaard. A healthy Eto'o would have given the Liverpool defense problems, but the Reds appear to be let off the hook. Barca has also not looked like a dominant side all season, squandering numerous chances to pull away in La Liga. They are currently even on points with Sevilla, and will have a battle the rest of the way to hold on to their title. This is a Barcelona team that is there for the taking, and Liverpool appears to be a side that is capable of doing it. Liverpool's attack featuring strikers Peter Crouch and Dirk Kuyt, along with midfielder Steven Gerrard, will prove a handful, and the back line is strong enough to carry the Reds to the quarterfinals. This matchup will depend on whether or not Barcelona can put together a complete effort. If Ronaldinho is at his brilliant best and Deco is in a playmaking mood, Barca are a tough team for anybody to beat, the only problem is that we are still waiting for that complete effort to come together.
Inter Milan vs. Valencia
There is no hotter team in all of Europe than Inter Milan. The Italian side is unbeaten in 23 league matches this season, including 16-straight wins. The only time that Inter has struggled all season came in Champions League group play, when they dropped their first two games, before going unbeaten over the last four games to qualify for the knockout round. Valencia is hoping that some of that trouble will creep into the Inter side on Wednesday, as the Spanish outfit visit the San Siro. Valencia has been an up-and-down team all season, but will try to take the momentum it grabbed from Sunday's 2-1 defeat of Barcelona into the knockout round. The Inter defense has been very good this season, allowing just 17 goals in 23 matches in Serie A, but Valencia has a 1-2 punch of David Villa and Fernando Morientes that could give Inter some problems. The duo has combined for 19 goals this season, and will get help from midfielder Vicente, who has emerged as a nice complement. Valencia will need to find the net often if they are to get past Inter, who have to be considered one of the favorites to hoist the trophy in May. Part of the reason for that is an equally impressive offense led by striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic. The Swede has pumped home 10 goals this season, and will team with either Hernan Crespo or Adriano up top. Both teams are capable of scoring goals, but Inter has been the more consistent club throughout the season, and is more likely to produce two quality efforts.
Chelsea vs. FC Porto
Chelsea boss Jose Mourinho will no doubt be have flashbacks on Wednesday when he visits Estadio do Dragao to meet FC Porto. Mourinho guided the Portuguese club to the 2004 Champions League title, something that has eluded him in his time at Chelsea. For all the good things Mourinho has done in his two years at Stamford Bridge, he has failed to deliver an appearance in the finals. With such a high-priced roster filled with stars, anything less is looked at as failure. That will prove to be a tough task this season with the injuries that the Blues have had to endure and the fact that they are still trying to chase down Manchester United in the Premiership standings. Chelsea has won its last six games with make-shift lineups, and Mourinho is starting to get back some of his injured stars. Defender John Terry is back healthy after back and calf issues, while keeper Petr Cech is also back between the posts after a head injury. Striker Didier Drogba has been simply dominant this season, but the key to a Chelsea title run could hinge on his strike partner. Mourinho has played both Salomon Kalou and much-maligned Andriy Shevchenko alongside Drogba with mixed results. Shevchenko has been a prolific goal scorer in years past, and if he can somehow regain that form, Chelsea will be a force. FC Porto will be looking for some of the magic they used to capture the 2004 crown, and need to look no further than striker Helder Postiga for that support. The Portuguese sniper will carry much of the scoring load on his shoulders, and will be the number one target of the Chelsea defense. If the Blues can shut down Postiga, they will stand a very good chance of moving on. Porto's back line has conceded just 10 goals in 18 games in league play this season, but has not seen anything like Drogba yet.
Lyon vs. Roma
Lyon are a club that has always been a bridesmaid and never a bride. They have dominated Ligue 1 for the past four seasons, but they have been unable to translate that success to the Champions League. The French power has been consistently knocked out in the quarterfinal and semifinal round, never quite reaching the final. This season doesn't look to be much different. After destroying the French league in the first couple months of the season, Lyon has taken its foot off the gas pedal. The club has won its last two games, but went four games prior without a win. They have not resembled the juggernaut from earlier this season, but maybe they need the competition of the Champions League to keep themselves interested. Lyon do boast a balanced attack with Fred, Juninho and Florent Malouda, while also maintaining a strong defensive record in league play. However, they just seem to lack that extra something to vault them into elite status. Lucky for them that their opponents, Roma, also cannot claim to be a favorite in the competition. The Italian side do have the high-flying Francesco Totti, but they do not have enough help for him to move on. Lyon figure to do enough to get past this round, which they usually do, but after that, all bets are off.
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Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - WORLD GOLF CHAMPIONSHIPS -
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Elite 8 NCAA Tournament Betting at online sportsbook MySportsbook.com
In what should be an outstanding Saturday of March Madness betting action, the top four teams in the South and West Regions square off in what should be extremely close match-ups. Three of the four teams are coming off extremely close games on Thursday evening, only UCLA won semi comfortably over Pitt 64-55.
Ohio State is coming off their second game in a row where in all reality they should have lost. Of course that doesn’t matter now since the name of the game is “survive and advance” but as the tournament continues, they can’t afford to keep getting down to their opponents early. Kansas also avoided a scare by holding off a scrappy Southern Illinois squad. In the third thrilling game of the evening Memphis pulled off the minor upset (+3.5) despite being the higher seed to Texas A&M.
Although the spreads are fairly small for Saturday’s games, MySportsbook.com continue to bet against the underdogs. Despite OSU’s two scares, 86% of the “betting public” feels the Buckeyes (-1.5) have what it takes to make the Final Four. In fact, so much of the early money is on OSU that the line has already moved from -1 to -1.5. In the second game of the doubleheader, Kansas and their high-powered offense are 2 point favorites as they take on UCLA and their effective defense. About 63% of the early money thus far is once again backing the favorites. If those percentages stay that high, don’t be surprised if this line moves as well. If you like Kansas (-2) you might want to jump on it early.
Memphis vs. Ohio State
Both squads were involved in thrillers on Thursday evening and should come out fired up. OSU can ill afford to get behind early like they did versus their previous two opponents (Xavier, Tennessee). Greg Oden needs to stay out of foul trouble; the Buckeyes are a completely different team when he is on the court. Memphis definitely has the athleticism and length to match-up with OSU. Of Memphis’ five leading minute earners, the shortest of the bunch is 6’5”. Each team has a very effective defense; Memphis surrenders 62.3 PPG whereas the Buckeyes give up only 61 PPG. With those type of numbers, it isn’t surprising that Memphis covered the UNDER almost 69% of the time this season. As a favorite, OSU has covered the UNDER almost 66% of the time over the last three seasons. The major concern for Memphis which is magnifies this time of the year is their brutal foul shooting (62%). This season, OSU is 17-11 ATS versus teams with a winning record and 7-2 ATS in all tournament games. Memphis has been an extremely reliable cover in tournament play in recent years with a 23-8 ATS record over the last three seasons.
UCLA vs. Kansas
In the second game of Saturday’s doubleheader, UCLA will play in a role which they are very unfamiliar with that of the underdog. Only twice this season have they been getting points from the handicappers and both times they covered. Over the last three seasons UCLA is a reliable 23-7 ATS in this unfamiliar role. UCLA has not fared well against Big 12 opponents recently going 1-7 ATS since 1997. Giving up only 59.6 PPG, UCLA will definitely look to do what they do best: keep this game as low scoring as possible. Their defense has been especially tough during the tournament. UCLA opponents have been able to muster up only 48.7 PPG while shooting a combined 34.5% from the field. UCLA definitely has a challenge at hand with a Kansas team that is capable of putting points on the board in bunches. As a team, they average 79 PPG and shoot an impressive 49.6% from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc. During the tournament Kansas has been “lights out” from the field having shot 56.2%.
With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action. Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.
To bet on March Madness games this online sportsbook accepts credit cards
BILLS (+10) at Steelers SPORTSBOOK LINES
It's impossible to gauge how a team will react after something like the Steve Everett situation, and it probably doesn't matter. That being said, the Bills are going to lose several games this year where they keep things close but fall short in the end to superior teams. Ben Roethlisberger and company could have a field day against Buffalo's decimated defense, but I like the Bills to cover.
BENGALS (-7) at Browns SPORTSBOOK LINES
All you can ask out of your NFL team is that it has a plan. You may not always agree with it as a fan, but as long as it appears the organization is going in some sort of direction, you have to go with it. Which brings us to the Cleveland Browns. You flip a coin to determine whether Chuck Frye or Derek Anderson should start the preseason opener. You start Frye in Week 1, but pull him in the first half. And then you deal him to the Seahawks for a sixth-round pick? Hmm... the Bengals could get six turnovers again this week.
COLTS (-7) at Titans SPORTSBOOK LINES
Tennessee signed ex-Colts cornerback Nick Harper in the offseason so that should help slow down Peyton Manning. Just ask Jason David and the Saints. Oh wait... One of these weeks, I'm going to learn to not pick against Tennessee, which has won seven of its last eight games. But it's not happening against Indy.
TEXANS (+6.5) at Panthers SPORTSBOOK LINES
Houston's Mario Williams, the first pick in the '06 draft, has more touchdowns than Reggie Bush after one week. Somehow I don't see that lasting. Meanwhile, Carolina bottled up what was expected to be a pretty high-octane offense in St. Louis in Week 1. Could this be the Panthers' defense everyone expected last year? Maybe. This feels like a 20-16 Carolina win.
RAMS (-3) vs. 49ers SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Absolutely love this game. Everyone's favorite pick for this year's surprise team -- the 49ers -- laid an egg on Monday night (not that anyone was watching with the game ending in the middle of the night for those of us on the East Coast). St. Louis wasn't much better, delivering a lackluster effort against the Panthers that included two Steven Jackson fumbles and panic from his fantasy owners. Jackson rebounds this week, and the Rams get their first win.
PACKERS (+1.5) at Giants SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Do you really trust this guy to win an NFL game if Eli Manning can't go? I say no. I'd feel alot better about this Packers team if it had any semblance of a running game, but I still think Green Bay's defense is good enough to give it a 2-0 start.
JAGUARS (-10) vs. Falcons SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Does it scare me to pick Jacksonville to cover a double-digit spread after it scored just 10 points last week against the Titans? Absolutely. But can I bring myself to pick Atlanta under any circumstances? No. Check out this poll on ajc.com. It asks what Atlanta's most urgent deficiency is: offense, defense, specials teams or all of the above. "All of the above" has 57 percent of the votes. Ouch.
SAINTS (-3) at Buccaneers SPORTSBOOKS LINES
I'm picking way too many road teams this week. Oh well. New Orleans has had some time to reflect on its lackluster showing in the opener, and the Buccanneers just aren't a very good football team. Anyone else surprised Tampa Bay hasn't made a move to sign Byron Leftwich? I thought that's what they do.
VIKINGS (+3) at Lions SPORTS BETTING LINES
Run the ball and stop the run. Minnesota can do both, and that will keep them in a lot of games this season. Even though it was only one week, Adrian Peterson looks like he was a steal at No. 7 in last year's draft. Not only will he produce, but Peterson delivers excitement to what otherwise would be one of the league's most boring teams.
DOLPHINS (+3.5) vs. Cowboys SPORTS BETTING LINES
Lost in the Tony Romo lovefest is just how bad the Cowboys' defense was last week. I know they're banged up, but Dallas' 'D' allowed 438 yards to the Giants' offense, and backup running back Derrick Ward averaged 6.8 yards per carry. Meanwhile, Cam Cameron's decision to split carries between Ronnie Brown and Jesse Chatman sounds about as can't-miss as Larry David's plan to show up to Marty Funkhouser's party a night late. Still, gotta go with Miami to cover at home.
SEAHAWKS (-2.5) at Cardinals SPORTS BETTING LINES
I'm probably missing something, but this game seems too easy. Arizona blew Monday night's game against the 49ers in typical Cardinals fashion, and the Seahawks beat Tampa Bay by two touchdowns. Love Seattle in this one.
BRONCOS (-9.5) vs. Raiders SPORTS BETTING LINES
Special teams was a major story line in Week 1. Take a look at the Broncos. They had to rush on to the field to get a Jason Elam field goal as time expired against the Bills. Denver drove into Buffalo territory on eight of 10 drives but came away with just a pair of field goals and a touchdown. Look for more scoring from the Broncos this week against an Oakland defense that gave up 36 points to Detroit in Week 1.
BEARS (-12) vs. Chiefs SPORTS BETTING LINES
Everyone talks about Rex Grossman when dissecting the Bears' offense, but Chicago's quarterback got no help in last week's loss to the Chargers. Meanwhile, Kansas City confirmed what we all thought while watching Hard Knocks: The Chiefs are going to stink this year. It could be a rough first month for Larry Johnson fantasy owners. Kansas City's RB was limited to 43 yards on 10 carries in Week 1, and the Chiefs face the Bears, Vikings and Chargers the next three weeks, all formidable run defenses.
RAVENS (-10) vs. Jets SPORTS BETTING LINES
A big dose of Willis McGahee and a usual sound defensive effort will give the Ravens their first win. According to Football Outsiders, no team in the NFL rushed only three defenders on pass plays last year more than the Jets. And according to my special Jets correspondent Ben Stauber, New York did the same in Week 1. Whoever starts at quarterback for the Ravens should have all day to throw.
PATRIOTS (-3) vs. Chargers
Friends and I were discussing how Bill Belichick goes about paying his $500,000 fine for cheating. Does he just write one check to the NFL? Do you need some sort of clearance to make such a monstrous financial transaction? I guess I shouldn't complain about the security deposit I have to put down on my new apartment. Anyway, two of the league's best teams square off in what should be a good one Sunday night. The Patriots always respond well just when you think they're in trouble. And their offensive attack was the story in Week 1.
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting.
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